Valladolid v Eldense Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultValladolid to win ✗63% · @1.83

Double chanceValladolid or draw ✗85% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.83

Valladolid vs Eldense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Valladolid v Eldense in the Segunda División. In the table, Valladolid are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Eldense are 15th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Valladolid, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Albacete, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Eldense, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cordoba, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valladolid 1.8 xG, Eldense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Valladolid 63%, draw 22%, Eldense 15%.
Lower-risk option: Valladolid or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Valladolid to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Valladolid or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valladolid 1–0 Eldense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valladolid63%fair 1.59 · @1.83

Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.30

Eldense15%fair 6.83 · @4.00

2.50Expected goals

1.78Valladolid xG

0.72Eldense xG

49%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

2–013%

1–110%

2–19%

0–08%

3–08%

From our goals model: Valladolid 1.8 – 0.7 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Valladolid to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.83 ▲
Double chance	Valladolid or draw ✗	85%	1.17	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	1.91
Draw no bet	Valladolid (draw no bet) ✗	81%	1.23	–
Asian handicap	Valladolid -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Valladolid to score first	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Valladolid ahead at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid ✗	40%	2.53	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.83	–

Valladolid – last 6

WDWDLW

12 Oct	vs Albacete	5–0	W
4 Oct	@ Las Palmas	2–2	D
27 Sep	vs Cordoba	3–1	W
20 Sep	@ AD Ceuta FC	1–1	D
13 Sep	vs Oviedo	0–3	L
5 Sep	vs FC Andorra	1–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Eldense – last 6

WWLLWD

10 Oct	vs Cordoba	2–1	W
2 Oct	vs Oviedo	4–1	W
27 Sep	@ Burgos	0–1	L
19 Sep	vs Eibar	1–2	L
13 Sep	@ Sporting Gijon	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Mallorca	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Eldense?

Our pick is Valladolid or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Valladolid vs Eldense?

On our numbers Valladolid have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Eldense 15%.

How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Eldense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Eldense?

Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–0 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Valladolid vs Eldense?

Valladolid vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Valladolid v Eldense: numbers & prediction