Almeria v Oviedo Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlmeria to win ✗61% · @1.67

Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓85% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Almeria vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Almeria v Oviedo in the Segunda División. In the table, Almeria are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 13 matches; Oviedo are 9th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Almeria, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Real Sociedad II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Oviedo, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AD Ceuta FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Almeria, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Oviedo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Almeria 1.8 xG, Oviedo 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Almeria 61%, draw 24%, Oviedo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Almeria or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Almeria to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almeria 1–0 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Almeria61%fair 1.64 · @1.67

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60

Oviedo15%fair 6.67 · @4.60

2.50Expected goals

1.75Almeria xG

0.75Oviedo xG

54%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–013%

1–111%

2–19%

0–08%

3–07%

From our goals model: Almeria 1.8 – 0.7 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Almeria to win ✗	61%	1.64	1.67
Double chance	Almeria or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.85	1.80
Draw no bet	Almeria (draw no bet)	80%	1.25	–
Asian handicap	Almeria -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Almeria to score first ✓	64%	1.55	–
Half-time result	Almeria ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Almeria / FT Almeria ✗	38%	2.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.62	–

Almeria – last 6

WWWWWW

17 Oct	@ Real Sociedad II	4–2	W
11 Oct	vs Leganes	3–0	W
3 Oct	vs Burgos	2–1	W
27 Sep	@ Mallorca	1–0	W
20 Sep	vs Celta de Vigo II	2–0	W
12 Sep	@ Cordoba	2–0	W

2.3Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Oviedo – last 6

WWLWLW

18 Oct	@ AD Ceuta FC	2–1	W
12 Oct	vs Eibar	3–1	W
2 Oct	@ Eldense	1–4	L
27 Sep	vs Sporting Gijon	2–0	W
20 Sep	@ Sabadell	1–3	L
13 Sep	@ Valladolid	3–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Almeria vs Oviedo?

Our pick is Almeria to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Almeria vs Oviedo?

On our numbers Almeria have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oviedo 15%.

How many goals will there be in Almeria vs Oviedo?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Almeria vs Oviedo?

Our predicted score is Almeria 1–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Almeria vs Oviedo?

Almeria vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Almeria v Oviedo: numbers & prediction