Las Palmas 58%Draw 18%Real Sociedad II 24%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.27
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Las Palmas to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División, played at Estadio de Gran Canaria. In the table, Las Palmas are 10th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Real Sociedad II are 17th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Las Palmas, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Castellón, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Real Sociedad II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Almeria, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 2.1 xG, Real Sociedad II 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 58%, draw 18%, Real Sociedad II 24%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Las Palmas to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @3.40
Real Sociedad II24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
3.35Expected goals
2.08Las Palmas xG
1.27Real Sociedad II xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 2.1 – 1.3 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Las Palmas ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 6
LLDLLW
17 Oct
vs Castellón
0–3
L
11 Oct
@ Mallorca
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Eibar
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Burgos
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LLLWLL
17 Oct
vs Almeria
2–4
L
10 Oct
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Granada CF
2–3
L
30 Sep
@ Leicester City U21
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Mallorca
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Real Sociedad II 24%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.