Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMallorca to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Leganes vs Mallorca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leganes welcome Mallorca to Estadio Municipal de Butarque for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:15 WAT). In the table, Leganes are 18th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Mallorca are 6th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Leganes, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cordoba, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Mallorca, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Eibar, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mallorca, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Leganes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 0.8 xG, Mallorca 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 28%, draw 24%, Mallorca 48%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Mallorca to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 0–1 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leganes28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Mallorca48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
1.90Expected goals
0.76Leganes xG
1.14Mallorca xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leganes 0.8 – 1.1 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✗
48%
2.09
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Leganes +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mallorca to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.88
–
Recent results
Leganes – last 6
LLLLWL
16 Oct
vs Cordoba
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Almeria
0–3
L
3 Oct
@ Cadiz
0–4
L
28 Sep
vs Castellón
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Granada CF
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Tenerife
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mallorca – last 6
DWDLWW
17 Oct
@ Eibar
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Las Palmas
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Girona
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Almeria
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Mallorca.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Leganes vs Mallorca?
On our numbers Leganes have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mallorca 48%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Mallorca?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Mallorca?
Our predicted score is Leganes 0–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Mallorca?
Leganes vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
