Cadiz 59%Draw 26%AD Ceuta FC 16%Expected goals 1.87 – 0.88
84%
Betarazi pick
Cadiz or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cadiz to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCadiz to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceCadiz or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cadiz welcome AD Ceuta FC to Nuevo Mirandilla for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 25 October (16:15 WAT). In the table, Cadiz are 20th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; AD Ceuta FC are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Cadiz, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Granada CF, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Oviedo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Jul 2026) it ended Cadiz 1–3 AD Ceuta FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cadiz 0 wins, AD Ceuta FC 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cadiz 1.9 xG, AD Ceuta FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cadiz 59%, draw 26%, AD Ceuta FC 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cadiz or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Cadiz to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cadiz or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cadiz 1–0 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cadiz59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.30
AD Ceuta FC16%fair 6.39 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.87Cadiz xG
0.88AD Ceuta FC xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.9 – 0.9 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cadiz or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AD Ceuta FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 1–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Mirandilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
