Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceCastellón or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.50
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Gijon travel to face Castellón on Sunday 25 October in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal de Castalia the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Castellón are 2nd, among the top four, on 27 points after 12 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Castellón, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Las Palmas, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Gijon, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albacete, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón 1.6 xG, Sporting Gijon 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón 65%, draw 22%, Sporting Gijon 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellón to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón 1–0 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón65%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.00
Sporting Gijon14%fair 7.21 · @5.50
2.10Expected goals
1.57Castellón xG
0.53Sporting Gijon xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Castellón 1.6 – 0.5 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Castellón or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Draw no bet
Castellón (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Castellón -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Castellón to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.50
–
Recent results
Castellón – last 6
WLDWWW
17 Oct
@ Las Palmas
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Leganes
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Tenerife
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Girona
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WWWLWL
17 Oct
vs Albacete
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Celta de Vigo II
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Andorra
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Eldense
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Castellón to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Castellón have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Gijon 14%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Castellón 1–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Sporting Gijon?
Castellón vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
