Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSabadell to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Sabadell vs Tenerife: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tenerife travel to face Sabadell on Sunday 25 October in the Segunda División, with Nova Creu Alta the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sabadell are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Tenerife are 14th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sabadell, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Burgos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Tenerife, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Celta de Vigo II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabadell 1.4 xG, Tenerife 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabadell 56%, draw 22%, Tenerife 22%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sabadell to win (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabadell 1–0 Tenerife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabadell56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.00
Tenerife22%fair 4.49 · @4.20
2.20Expected goals
1.44Sabadell xG
0.76Tenerife xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.4 – 0.8 Tenerife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sabadell (draw no bet)
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Tenerife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sabadell to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Sabadell – last 6
LWDDWL
18 Oct
@ Burgos
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Andorra
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Oviedo
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tenerife – last 6
DDLDLW
19 Oct
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Girona
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Cordoba
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Cadiz
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Castellón
0–5
L
13 Sep
vs Leganes
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Tenerife.
Our pick is Sabadell to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tenerife 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Tenerife?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Tenerife?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 1–0 Tenerife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Tenerife?
Sabadell vs Tenerife (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Creu Alta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
