Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.62 – our chance 65% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRayo Vallecano to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Santander travel to face Rayo Vallecano on Saturday 5 September in the La Liga, with Campo de Futbol de Vallecas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Racing Santander are 10th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Barcelona, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Racing Santander, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Elche, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Racing Santander, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Rayo Vallecano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano 1.7 xG, Racing Santander 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano 44%, draw 22%, Racing Santander 35%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Racing Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano44%fair 2.30 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Racing Santander35%fair 2.88 · @3.05
3.23Expected goals
1.72Rayo Vallecano xG
1.51Racing Santander xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.7 – 1.5 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Vallecano to win✓
44%
2.30
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Rayo Vallecano (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Racing Santander +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.13
First team to score
Rayo Vallecano to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Vallecano / FT Rayo Vallecano✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
LDLLWL
31 Aug
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
20 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Sevilla
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Ipswich
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Charleroi
3–2
W
26 Jul
@ Feyenoord
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Racing Santander – last 6
WLDDWL
28 Aug
vs Elche
3–2
W
23 Aug
@ Getafe
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Villarreal
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sporting Gijon
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Racing Santander 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Racing Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander?
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
