Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo La Coruna travel to face Villarreal on Saturday 5 September in the La Liga, with Estadio de la Ceramica the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Villarreal are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Deportivo La Coruna are 9th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villarreal, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Alaves, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Valencia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 2.0 xG, Deportivo La Coruna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 65%, draw 22%, Deportivo La Coruna 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal65%fair 1.55 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.20
Deportivo La Coruna14%fair 7.22 · @6.25
2.85Expected goals
2.02Villarreal xG
0.83Deportivo La Coruna xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal 2.0 – 0.8 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Double chance
Villarreal or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Villarreal (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Villarreal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Villarreal to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Villarreal ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Villarreal – last 6
LDDWWL
28 Aug
@ Alaves
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Racing Santander
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Levante
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Lens
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
WDDLWD
30 Aug
vs Valencia
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Malaga
1–1
D
17 Aug
vs Elche
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Genoa
1–0
W
6 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo La Coruna 14%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
