Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97
Celta Vigo vs Alaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celta Vigo welcome Alaves to Municipal de Balaídos for a La Liga fixture on Sunday 18 October (15:15 WAT). In the table, Celta Vigo are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Alaves are 12th (lower half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventus, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Alaves, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Madrid, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.2 xG, Alaves 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 46%, draw 23%, Alaves 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–0 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Alaves31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
2.13Expected goals
1.21Celta Vigo xG
0.92Alaves xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.2 – 0.9 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alaves 31%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–0 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Alaves?
Celta Vigo vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
