Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Osasuna to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOsasuna to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Osasuna vs Racing Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Osasuna v Racing Santander in the La Liga, played at Estadio El Sadar. In the table, Osasuna are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Racing Santander are 10th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Osasuna, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Real Betis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Racing Santander, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Valencia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Racing Santander, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Osasuna.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osasuna 2.4 xG, Racing Santander 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osasuna 58%, draw 20%, Racing Santander 22%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Osasuna to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasuna 2–1 Racing Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osasuna58%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
Racing Santander22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
3.88Expected goals
2.40Osasuna xG
1.48Racing Santander xG
65%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Osasuna 2.4 – 1.5 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Racing Santander 22%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 2–1 Racing Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Racing Santander?
Osasuna vs Racing Santander (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
