Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sevilla travel to face Real Madrid on Sunday 18 October in the La Liga – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 12 matches; Sevilla are 6th (upper half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Madrid, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over AS Roma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Sevilla, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Levante, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Madrid, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Sevilla.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid 2.4 xG, Sevilla 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid 73%, draw 16%, Sevilla 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Madrid to win (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid73%fair 1.37 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @6.00
Sevilla11%fair 9.24 · @10.00
3.25Expected goals
2.43Real Madrid xG
0.82Sevilla xG
53%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–09%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Real Madrid 2.4 – 0.8 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Real Madrid have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sevilla 11%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
Real Madrid vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
