Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Atletico Madrid v Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga, played at Metropolitano Stadium. In the table, Atletico Madrid are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 12 matches; Deportivo La Coruna are 9th (upper half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Madrid, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with VfB Stuttgart, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Levante, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Madrid, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo La Coruna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Madrid 2.1 xG, Deportivo La Coruna 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Madrid 70%, draw 19%, Deportivo La Coruna 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Madrid to win (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Madrid70%fair 1.44 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @5.50
Deportivo La Coruna12%fair 8.45 · @9.00
2.89Expected goals
2.14Atletico Madrid xG
0.75Deportivo La Coruna xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Madrid 2.1 – 0.7 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Madrid to win✓
70%
1.44
1.29
Double chance
Atletico Madrid or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Atletico Madrid (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Madrid -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Atletico Madrid to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Atletico Madrid ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Madrid / FT Atletico Madrid✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Atletico Madrid – last 6
DWWWWW
20 Oct
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Espanyol
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Manchester United
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Alaves
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Real Madrid
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Osasuna
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DLLDLD
16 Oct
vs Levante
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Real Sociedad
2–3
L
2 Oct
vs FC Porto
1–3
L
20 Sep
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Getafe
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Madrid and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Atletico Madrid to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Atletico Madrid have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo La Coruna 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 2–0 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Metropolitano Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
