Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.84
Valencia vs Villarreal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the La Liga brings Valencia against Villarreal at Estadio de Mestalla. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Valencia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Villarreal are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Valencia, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Athletic Club, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Villarreal, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Liverpool, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Villarreal, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Valencia.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Villarreal 2–1 Valencia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia 1.1 xG, Villarreal 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia 30%, draw 21%, Villarreal 49%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia 1–1 Villarreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia30%fair 3.36 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Villarreal49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.10Valencia xG
1.51Villarreal xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.1 – 1.5 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Valencia have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Villarreal 49%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Villarreal?
Valencia vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
