Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRayo Vallecano to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceRayo Vallecano or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elche travel to face Rayo Vallecano on Saturday 24 October in the La Liga, with Campo de Futbol de Vallecas the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Elche are 18th (in the drop zone) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Getafe, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Elche, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villarreal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano 2.3 xG, Elche 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano 61%, draw 24%, Elche 15%.
Lower-risk option: Rayo Vallecano or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rayo Vallecano or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.70
Elche15%fair 6.89 · @4.40
3.35Expected goals
2.26Rayo Vallecano xG
1.09Elche xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 2.3 – 1.1 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Elche 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
