Alaves 44%Draw 27%Deportivo La Coruna 29%Expected goals 1.35 – 1.08
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlaves to win44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.55
Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 November the La Liga brings Alaves against Deportivo La Coruna at Estadio Mendizorrotza. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Alaves are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Deportivo La Coruna are 9th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alaves, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Anaitasuna, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Deportivo La Coruna, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Espanyol, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alaves 1.3 xG, Deportivo La Coruna 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alaves 44%, draw 27%, Deportivo La Coruna 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alaves 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alaves44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Deportivo La Coruna29%fair 3.44 · @3.60
2.42Expected goals
1.35Alaves xG
1.08Deportivo La Coruna xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Alaves 1.3 – 1.1 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alaves
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack vs La Liga average
-11%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.07
Our own ratings from every La Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaves to win
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Alaves (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruna +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Alaves to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaves / FT Alaves
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Alaves – last 6
WDLDLL
10 Nov
@ Anaitasuna
6–1
W
6 Nov
@ Sevilla
0–0
D
31 Oct
@ Barcelona
1–6
L
23 Oct
vs Malaga
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 6
DWWLDL
7 Nov
@ Espanyol
0–0
D
2 Nov
vs Osasuna
2–1
W
29 Oct
@ Auriense
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Atletico Madrid
0–1
L
16 Oct
vs Levante
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Real Sociedad
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alaves and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Alaves have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo La Coruna 29%.
How many goals will there be in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Alaves 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruna (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mendizorrotza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
