Real Madrid 74%Draw 18%Celta Vigo 7%Expected goals 2.23 – 0.60
74%
Betarazi pick
Real Madrid to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid to win74% · @1.20
Double chanceReal Madrid or draw93% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.37
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Madrid welcome Celta Vigo for a La Liga fixture on Saturday 21 November (21:00 WAT). In the table, Real Madrid are 2nd, among the top four, on 30 points after 12 matches; Celta Vigo are 11th (lower half) with 13. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Madrid, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Valencia, away. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Celta Vigo, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Salamanca UDS, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Madrid, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Celta Vigo.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid 2.2 xG, Celta Vigo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 61%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid 74%, draw 18%, Celta Vigo 7%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Real Madrid to win (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid 2–0 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid74%fair 1.34 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @6.25
Celta Vigo7%fair 13.35 · @13.00
2.82Expected goals
2.23Real Madrid xG
0.60Celta Vigo xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real Madrid 2.2 – 0.6 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Attack vs La Liga average
+52%
-27%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.97
0.55
Our own ratings from every La Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Real Madrid have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Celta Vigo 7%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid 2–0 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?
Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
