Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultRayo Vallecano to win53% · @1.91
Double chanceRayo Vallecano or draw79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.37
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valencia travel to face Rayo Vallecano on Saturday 21 November in the La Liga, with Campo de Futbol de Vallecas the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Valencia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Real Sociedad, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Valencia, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Tavernes, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano 1.7 xG, Valencia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano 53%, draw 26%, Valencia 21%.
Lower-risk option: Rayo Vallecano or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Rayo Vallecano or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano53%fair 1.89 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.40
Valencia21%fair 4.83 · @3.90
2.62Expected goals
1.67Rayo Vallecano xG
0.95Valencia xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.7 – 1.0 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Attack vs La Liga average
-3%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.62
0.92
Our own ratings from every La Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Our pick is Rayo Vallecano or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Valencia 21%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
