Value bet: Real Avilés to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Avilés travel to face Athletic Club II on Sunday 6 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Lezama Facilities the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club II are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Real Avilés are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club II, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zamora, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Avilés, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pontevedra, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club II 0.8 xG, Real Avilés 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club II 41%, draw 24%, Real Avilés 35%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Real Avilés to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.90, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club II 0–0 Real Avilés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club II41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.90
Real Avilés35%fair 2.84 · @3.25
1.50Expected goals
0.80Athletic Club II xG
0.70Real Avilés xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–018%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 0.8 – 0.7 Real Avilés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win✓
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Athletic Club II (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Real Avilés +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Athletic Club II to score first
41%
2.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.63
–
Recent results
Athletic Club II – last 6
DWWWLL
29 Aug
@ Zamora
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Laredo
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Avilés – last 6
LWWDLD
28 Aug
vs Pontevedra
0–1
L
21 Aug
vs Sporting Gijón II
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Mosconia
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ Racing Ferrol
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Real Avilés.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Avilés 35%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 0–0 Real Avilés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés?
Athletic Club II vs Real Avilés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
