Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZamora to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceZamora or draw ✗83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Zamora vs UD Logroñés: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Zamora v UD Logroñés in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Ruta de la Plata. In the table, Zamora are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; UD Logroñés are 2nd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Zamora, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Athletic Club II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
UD Logroñés, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Extremadura 1924, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zamora 1.6 xG, UD Logroñés 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zamora 57%, draw 25%, UD Logroñés 17%.
Lower-risk option: Zamora or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zamora 1–0 UD Logroñés. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zamora57%fair 1.75 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
UD Logroñés17%fair 5.72 · @3.90
2.43Expected goals
1.64Zamora xG
0.79UD Logroñés xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Zamora 1.6 – 0.8 UD Logroñés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win✗
57%
1.75
1.83
Double chance
Zamora or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Zamora (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
UD Logroñés +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Zamora to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora / FT Zamora✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Zamora – last 6
DWLWWW
29 Aug
vs Athletic Club II
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Real Madrid II
1–0
W
19 Jun
@ Sabadell
0–4
L
13 Jun
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs Villarreal II
2–0
W
10 May
@ Lugo
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
UD Logroñés – last 6
WWWLWL
31 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Huesca II
4–0
W
21 Aug
vs Mirandes
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Zaragoza
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Huesca
1–0
W
30 May
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora and UD Logroñés.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
On our numbers Zamora have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UD Logroñés 17%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
Our predicted score is Zamora 1–0 UD Logroñés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Zamora vs UD Logroñés?
Zamora vs UD Logroñés (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
