CD Coria 18%Draw 52%Barakaldo 30%Expected goals 1.11 – 1.35
82%
Betarazi pick
Barakaldo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +66%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗52% · @3.20
Double chanceBarakaldo or draw ✗82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.81
CD Coria vs Barakaldo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CD Coria welcome Barakaldo for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 5 September (17:45 WAT). In the table, CD Coria are 17th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Barakaldo are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CD Coria, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Real Unión, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Barakaldo, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cultural Leonesa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours CD Coria, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Barakaldo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CD Coria 1.1 xG, Barakaldo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CD Coria 18%, draw 52%, Barakaldo 30%.
Lower-risk option: Barakaldo or draw (82%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barakaldo or draw (82%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Coria 1–1 Barakaldo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CD Coria18%fair 5.51 · @3.40
Draw52%fair 1.93 · @3.20
Barakaldo30%fair 3.34 · @2.05
2.46Expected goals
1.11CD Coria xG
1.35Barakaldo xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: CD Coria 1.1 – 1.4 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
52%
1.93
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Barakaldo or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
CD Coria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.81
–
Recent results
CD Coria – last 6
LDWLWW
30 Aug
@ Real Unión
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Valladolid
1–4
L
31 May
@ Real Oviedo II
1–0
W
24 May
vs Real Oviedo II
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barakaldo – last 6
DLWLLW
30 Aug
vs Cultural Leonesa
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Portugalete
0–2
L
9 May
vs Mérida AD
2–0
W
1 May
@ Tenerife
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Real Madrid II
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Coria and Barakaldo.
Our pick is Barakaldo or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CD Coria vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers CD Coria have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Barakaldo 30%.
How many goals will there be in CD Coria vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Coria vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is CD Coria 1–1 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CD Coria vs Barakaldo?
CD Coria vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
