Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pontevedra to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPontevedra to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chancePontevedra or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.86
Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pontevedra welcome Arenas Getxo for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 5 September (17:45 WAT). In the table, Pontevedra are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 11 matches; Arenas Getxo are 19th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Pontevedra, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Avilés, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Arenas Getxo, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Ferrol, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Arenas Getxo 1–0 Pontevedra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontevedra 1.5 xG, Arenas Getxo 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontevedra 64%, draw 23%, Arenas Getxo 13%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Pontevedra to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontevedra 1–0 Arenas Getxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontevedra64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Arenas Getxo13%fair 7.80 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.52Pontevedra xG
0.48Arenas Getxo xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pontevedra 1.5 – 0.5 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers Pontevedra have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arenas Getxo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is Pontevedra 1–0 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo?
Pontevedra vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
