Value bet: Cacereño to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCultural Leonesa to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cultural Leonesa travel to face Cacereño on Sunday 13 September in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Principe Felipe the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, Cacereño are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Cultural Leonesa are 14th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cacereño, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UD San Pedro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cultural Leonesa, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mérida AD, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cacereño 0.5 xG, Cultural Leonesa 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cacereño 37%, draw 25%, Cultural Leonesa 38%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Cacereño to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cacereño 0–0 Cultural Leonesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cacereño37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Cultural Leonesa38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
1.00Expected goals
0.49Cacereño xG
0.51Cultural Leonesa xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%
From our goals model: Cacereño 0.5 – 0.5 Cultural Leonesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cultural Leonesa to win✗
38%
2.62
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.80
Draw no bet
Cultural Leonesa (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Cacereño +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.37
–
Recent results
Cacereño – last 6
WDWLWW
9 Sep
vs UD San Pedro
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Mirandes
1–0
W
21 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Villanovense
2–0
W
3 May
@ Arenteiro
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cultural Leonesa – last 6
WDDWDD
6 Sep
vs Mérida AD
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Barakaldo
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Salamanca UDS
5–0
W
8 Aug
@ Burgos
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cacereño and Cultural Leonesa.
What is the prediction for Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
On our numbers Cacereño have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cultural Leonesa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our predicted score is Cacereño 0–0 Cultural Leonesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa?
Cacereño vs Cultural Leonesa (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Principe Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
