Value bet: Real Unión to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Ferrol to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Racing Ferrol against Real Unión at Estadio Municipal da Malata. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Racing Ferrol are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Real Unión are 13th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Racing Ferrol, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Extremadura 1924, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Unión, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Unionistas de Salamanca, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Real Unión, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Racing Ferrol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Ferrol 1.8 xG, Real Unión 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Ferrol 38%, draw 24%, Real Unión 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Real Unión to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Unión. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Ferrol38%fair 2.60 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.88
Real Unión37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
3.50Expected goals
1.76Racing Ferrol xG
1.74Real Unión xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.8 – 1.7 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win✓
38%
2.60
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Racing Ferrol (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Real Unión +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Racing Ferrol to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Racing Ferrol – last 6
LDDDDD
6 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Real Madrid II
2–2
D
17 May
vs Osasuna II
0–0
D
8 May
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Unión – last 6
WWDWWL
5 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Eibar
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ PAU
2–1
W
1 May
vs Alfaro
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Real Zaragoza II
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Real Unión.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Unión 37%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?
Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
