Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultLugo to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceLugo or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Lugo vs CD Coria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Lugo against CD Coria at Estadio Anxo Carro. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT. In the table, Lugo are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 11 matches; CD Coria are 17th (lower half) with 12. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lugo, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ponferradina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
CD Coria, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Barakaldo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugo 2.3 xG, CD Coria 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugo 58%, draw 27%, CD Coria 15%.
Lower-risk option: Lugo or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugo 2–1 CD Coria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugo58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.00
CD Coria15%fair 6.66 · @4.20
3.50Expected goals
2.30Lugo xG
1.20CD Coria xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lugo 2.3 – 1.2 CD Coria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Lugo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lugo (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Lugo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Lugo to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Lugo ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugo / FT Lugo✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Lugo – last 6
DWWWLL
4 Sep
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Ourense CF
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Coruxo
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
10 May
vs Zamora
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CD Coria – last 6
WLDWLW
5 Sep
vs Barakaldo
4–1
W
30 Aug
@ Real Unión
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Extremadura 1924
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ Valladolid
1–4
L
31 May
@ Real Oviedo II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugo and CD Coria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lugo vs CD Coria?
On our numbers Lugo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CD Coria 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lugo vs CD Coria?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugo vs CD Coria?
Our predicted score is Lugo 2–1 CD Coria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lugo vs CD Coria?
Lugo vs CD Coria (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Anxo Carro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
