Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUD Ourense to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Unionistas de Salamanca v UD Ourense in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Reina Sofia. In the table, Unionistas de Salamanca are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; UD Ourense are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Unionistas de Salamanca, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Avilés, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
UD Ourense, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to UD Logroñés, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Unionistas de Salamanca 1.4 xG, UD Ourense 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Unionistas de Salamanca 36%, draw 23%, UD Ourense 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Unionistas de Salamanca36%fair 2.76 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
UD Ourense40%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.84Expected goals
1.37Unionistas de Salamanca xG
1.47UD Ourense xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Unionistas de Salamanca 1.4 – 1.5 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Ourense to win✗
40%
2.47
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
UD Ourense (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Unionistas de Salamanca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
UD Ourense to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Ourense / FT UD Ourense✗
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Unionistas de Salamanca – last 6
LLLWWW
12 Sep
@ Real Avilés
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Real Unión
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Lugo
1–3
L
21 Aug
vs Cacereño
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
LLLWWD
12 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Mirandes
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
31 May
@ Conquense
2–0
W
24 May
vs Conquense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Unionistas de Salamanca and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Unionistas de Salamanca have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Ourense 40%.
How many goals will there be in Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Unionistas de Salamanca 1–1 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense?
Unionistas de Salamanca vs UD Ourense (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Reina Sofia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
