Value bet: Athletic Club II to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Arenas Getxo against Athletic Club II at Estadio Municipal de Fadura. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Arenas Getxo are 19th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 11 matches; Athletic Club II are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Arenas Getxo, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cacereño, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Athletic Club II, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo La Coruña II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Athletic Club II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Arenas Getxo.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Athletic Club II 1–1 Arenas Getxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arenas Getxo 1.4 xG, Athletic Club II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arenas Getxo 33%, draw 22%, Athletic Club II 45%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Athletic Club II to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenas Getxo 1–1 Athletic Club II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arenas Getxo33%fair 3.02 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Athletic Club II45%fair 2.21 · @2.60
2.99Expected goals
1.36Arenas Getxo xG
1.63Athletic Club II xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.4 – 1.6 Athletic Club II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Athletic Club II 45%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 Athletic Club II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II?
Arenas Getxo vs Athletic Club II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
