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Deportivo La Coruña II v Real Unión: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo La Coruña II 40%Draw 23%Real Unión 37% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.56
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73

Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:45 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Deportivo La Coruña II v Real Unión in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Abanca-Riazor. In the table, Deportivo La Coruña II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 11 matches; Real Unión are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo La Coruña II, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Athletic Club II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Real Unión, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mirandes, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Real Unión, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Deportivo La Coruña II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Coruña II 1.6 xG, Real Unión 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Coruña II 40%, draw 23%, Real Unión 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Real Unión. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo La Coruña II40%fair 2.50 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Real Unión37%fair 2.69 · @2.88
3.19Expected goals
1.63Deportivo La Coruña II xG
1.56Real Unión xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.6 – 1.6 Real Unión expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓40%2.502.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.73
Draw no betDeportivo La Coruña II (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapReal Unión +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.11
First team to scoreDeportivo La Coruña II to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo La Coruña II / FT Deportivo La Coruña II ✗24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.73–

Recent results

Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6

DWDLLW
20 Sep@ Athletic Club II2–2D
13 Sepvs Ponferradina2–1W
6 Sepvs Cacereño1–1D
29 Aug@ Mérida AD0–1L
5 Augvs Real Madrid II0–1L
3 May@ Real Ávila4–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Unión – last 6

DLWWDW
19 Sepvs Mirandes2–2D
13 Sep@ Racing Ferrol2–3L
5 Sep@ Unionistas de Salamanca4–2W
30 Augvs CD Coria4–1W
8 Augvs Eibar1–1D
1 Aug@ PAU2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and Real Unión.

Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?

On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Unión 37%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?

Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–1 Real Unión, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión?

Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Unión (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Riazor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.