Athletic Club II 60%Draw 22%Extremadura 1924 18%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.71
82%
Betarazi pick
Athletic Club II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Athletic Club II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club II to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Athletic Club II welcome Extremadura 1924 to Lezama Facilities for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 4 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Athletic Club II are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Extremadura 1924 are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club II, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Arenas Getxo, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Extremadura 1924, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zamora, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Athletic Club II, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Extremadura 1924.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club II 1.6 xG, Extremadura 1924 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club II 60%, draw 22%, Extremadura 1924 18%.
Lower-risk option: Athletic Club II or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Athletic Club II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Athletic Club II or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club II 1–0 Extremadura 1924. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club II60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.00
Extremadura 192418%fair 5.52 · @3.80
2.30Expected goals
1.59Athletic Club II xG
0.71Extremadura 1924 xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 1.6 – 0.7 Extremadura 1924 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Athletic Club II or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Athletic Club II (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Extremadura 1924 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Athletic Club II to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Recent results
Athletic Club II – last 6
WDWWDW
26 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pontevedra
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Real Avilés
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Zamora
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Laredo
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Extremadura 1924 – last 6
LLLWLD
26 Sep
vs Zamora
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Cultural Leonesa
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ CD Coria
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Extremadura 1924.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
Our pick is Athletic Club II or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Extremadura 1924 18%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 1–0 Extremadura 1924, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924?
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.