Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceBarakaldo or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Barakaldo v Arenas Getxo in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo de Lasesarre. In the table, Barakaldo are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Arenas Getxo are 19th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barakaldo, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Real Avilés, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Arenas Getxo, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Athletic Club II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Barakaldo, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Arenas Getxo.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Arenas Getxo 2–1 Barakaldo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barakaldo 2.0 xG, Arenas Getxo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barakaldo 63%, draw 23%, Arenas Getxo 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barakaldo to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barakaldo 2–0 Arenas Getxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barakaldo63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
Arenas Getxo14%fair 7.21 · @5.50
2.90Expected goals
2.03Barakaldo xG
0.87Arenas Getxo xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 2.0 – 0.9 Arenas Getxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo?
Our pick is Barakaldo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arenas Getxo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 2–0 Arenas Getxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo?
Barakaldo vs Arenas Getxo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
