Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Real Unión vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UD Ourense travel to face Real Unión on Saturday 3 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Stadium Gal the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Real Unión are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; UD Ourense are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Real Unión, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo La Coruña II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
UD Ourense, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cacereño, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Real Unión, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for UD Ourense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Unión 2.4 xG, UD Ourense 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Unión 70%, draw 20%, UD Ourense 9%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Unión to win (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Unión 2–0 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Unión70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.40
UD Ourense9%fair 10.56 · @6.50
3.20Expected goals
2.38Real Unión xG
0.82UD Ourense xG
48%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Real Unión 2.4 – 0.8 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Unión to win✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Real Unión or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Real Unión (draw no bet)
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Real Unión -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Real Unión to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Real Unión ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Unión / FT Real Unión✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Real Unión – last 6
LDLWWD
26 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Mirandes
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs CD Coria
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Eibar
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
DLLLLW
27 Sep
vs Cacereño
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Mirandes
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
31 May
@ Conquense
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Unión and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Real Unión to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Real Unión have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and UD Ourense 9%.
How many goals will there be in Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Real Unión 2–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
Real Unión vs UD Ourense (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Gal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
