Racing Ferrol 62%Draw 24%Pontevedra 14%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.69
86%
Betarazi pick
Racing Ferrol or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Racing Ferrol to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRacing Ferrol to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceRacing Ferrol or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pontevedra travel to face Racing Ferrol on Saturday 3 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Municipal da Malata the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Racing Ferrol are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Pontevedra are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Racing Ferrol, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lugo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pontevedra, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ponferradina, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Ferrol 1.7 xG, Pontevedra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Ferrol 62%, draw 24%, Pontevedra 14%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Ferrol or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Racing Ferrol to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Racing Ferrol or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Ferrol 1–0 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Ferrol62%fair 1.63 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Pontevedra14%fair 7.09 · @3.50
2.40Expected goals
1.71Racing Ferrol xG
0.69Pontevedra xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Racing Ferrol 1.7 – 0.7 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Ferrol to win✓
62%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Racing Ferrol or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.91
Draw no bet
Racing Ferrol (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Racing Ferrol -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Racing Ferrol to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Ferrol / FT Racing Ferrol✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Racing Ferrol – last 6
LWWLDD
26 Sep
@ Lugo
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Unión
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Real Avilés
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 6
DDLWWL
27 Sep
vs Ponferradina
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ UD Logroñés
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Athletic Club II
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Arenas Getxo
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Real Avilés
1–0
W
19 Aug
@ Coruxo
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Ferrol and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Racing Ferrol or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Racing Ferrol have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pontevedra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Racing Ferrol 1–0 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra?
Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal da Malata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
