Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Barakaldo vs Mirandes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mirandes travel to face Barakaldo on Saturday 17 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Campo de Lasesarre the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Barakaldo are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Mirandes are 5th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Barakaldo, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to UD Ourense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Mirandes, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zamora, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mirandes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Barakaldo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barakaldo 1.3 xG, Mirandes 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barakaldo 40%, draw 25%, Mirandes 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barakaldo 1–1 Mirandes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barakaldo40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Mirandes36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
2.43Expected goals
1.26Barakaldo xG
1.17Mirandes xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.3 – 1.2 Mirandes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✓
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Mirandes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Barakaldo – last 6
LDDLWL
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Real Avilés
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Extremadura 1924
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ CD Coria
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mirandes – last 6
DLWDWW
10 Oct
vs Zamora
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Real Unión
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Mérida AD
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs UD Ourense
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Mirandes.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mirandes 36%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–1 Mirandes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Mirandes?
Barakaldo vs Mirandes (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
