Lugo 58%Draw 24%Deportivo La Coruña II 18%Expected goals 1.55 – 0.74
82%
Betarazi pick
Lugo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLugo to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceLugo or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lugo welcome Deportivo La Coruña II to Estadio Anxo Carro for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:30 WAT). In the table, Lugo are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 11 matches; Deportivo La Coruña II are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lugo, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over UD Logroñés, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo La Coruña II, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Racing Ferrol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lugo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Deportivo La Coruña II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lugo 1.6 xG, Deportivo La Coruña II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lugo 58%, draw 24%, Deportivo La Coruña II 18%.
Lower-risk option: Lugo or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lugo or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lugo 1–0 Deportivo La Coruña II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lugo58%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
Deportivo La Coruña II18%fair 5.48 · @4.00
2.29Expected goals
1.55Lugo xG
0.74Deportivo La Coruña II xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lugo 1.6 – 0.7 Deportivo La Coruña II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugo to win✓
58%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Lugo or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.73
Draw no bet
Lugo (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo La Coruña II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Lugo to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lugo / FT Lugo✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Lugo – last 6
WWWWWD
12 Oct
vs UD Logroñés
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Real Avilés
2–1
W
26 Sep
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Zamora
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs CD Coria
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
LLWDWD
10 Oct
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ UD Logroñés
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Real Unión
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Athletic Club II
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Ponferradina
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Cacereño
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugo and Deportivo La Coruña II.
What is the prediction for Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Our pick is Lugo or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
On our numbers Lugo have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo La Coruña II 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Our predicted score is Lugo 1–0 Deportivo La Coruña II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
Lugo vs Deportivo La Coruña II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Anxo Carro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
