Zamora vs Ponferradina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Zamora against Ponferradina at Estadio Ruta de la Plata. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Zamora are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Ponferradina are 11th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zamora, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirandes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ponferradina, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Avilés, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zamora 1.0 xG, Ponferradina 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zamora 43%, draw 24%, Ponferradina 33%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zamora 1–1 Ponferradina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zamora43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.88
Ponferradina33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
1.86Expected goals
1.02Zamora xG
0.84Ponferradina xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Zamora 1.0 – 0.8 Ponferradina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora to win✗
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.91
Draw no bet
Zamora (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Ponferradina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Zamora to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.72
–
Recent results
Zamora – last 6
DWWLWL
10 Oct
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs CD Coria
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Extremadura 1924
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lugo
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Arenas Getxo
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ponferradina – last 6
LWDWLD
11 Oct
vs Real Avilés
0–2
L
4 Oct
vs Mirandes
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Pontevedra
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Mérida AD
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Lugo
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora and Ponferradina.
What is the prediction for Zamora vs Ponferradina?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Zamora vs Ponferradina?
On our numbers Zamora have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ponferradina 33%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora vs Ponferradina?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora vs Ponferradina?
Our predicted score is Zamora 1–1 Ponferradina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Zamora vs Ponferradina?
Zamora vs Ponferradina (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
