Value bet: Cacereño to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCacereño to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.77
Pontevedra vs Cacereño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cacereño travel to face Pontevedra on Sunday 18 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Pontevedra are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 11 matches; Cacereño are 10th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pontevedra, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mérida AD, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cacereño, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Unionistas de Salamanca, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pontevedra 1.1 xG, Cacereño 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pontevedra 37%, draw 25%, Cacereño 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Cacereño to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pontevedra 1–1 Cacereño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pontevedra37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Cacereño38%fair 2.62 · @3.10
2.14Expected goals
1.06Pontevedra xG
1.08Cacereño xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pontevedra 1.1 – 1.1 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cacereño to win✗
38%
2.62
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
Cacereño (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Pontevedra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Cacereño to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.77
–
Recent results
Pontevedra – last 6
LLDDLW
11 Oct
vs Mérida AD
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Racing Ferrol
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Ponferradina
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ UD Logroñés
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Athletic Club II
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Arenas Getxo
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cacereño – last 6
DLDWLW
10 Oct
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Mérida AD
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ UD Ourense
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Arenas Getxo
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Recreativo Huelva
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontevedra and Cacereño.
What is the prediction for Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
On our numbers Pontevedra have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cacereño 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Our predicted score is Pontevedra 1–1 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
Pontevedra vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
