Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: UD Ourense to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUD Ourense to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Arenas Getxo against UD Ourense at Estadio Municipal de Fadura. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Arenas Getxo are 19th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 11 matches; UD Ourense are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Arenas Getxo, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Mérida AD, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
UD Ourense, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Avilés, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours UD Ourense, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Arenas Getxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arenas Getxo 1.3 xG, UD Ourense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arenas Getxo 38%, draw 23%, UD Ourense 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: UD Ourense to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenas Getxo 1–1 UD Ourense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arenas Getxo38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
UD Ourense39%fair 2.55 · @3.10
2.69Expected goals
1.33Arenas Getxo xG
1.36UD Ourense xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arenas Getxo 1.3 – 1.4 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UD Ourense to win✗
39%
2.55
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
UD Ourense (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Arenas Getxo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
UD Ourense to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UD Ourense / FT UD Ourense✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.96
–
Recent results
Arenas Getxo – last 6
LLDLLL
18 Oct
vs Mérida AD
0–4
L
12 Oct
@ Cultural Leonesa
1–4
L
3 Oct
@ Barakaldo
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Athletic Club II
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Cacereño
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Zamora
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
LWDDLL
18 Oct
@ Real Avilés
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Real Unión
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Cacereño
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs UD Logroñés
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arenas Getxo and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Arenas Getxo have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Ourense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Arenas Getxo 1–1 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense?
Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Fadura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
