Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Mirandes to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMirandes to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceMirandes or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Ferrol travel to face Mirandes on Saturday 24 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, with Estadio Municipal de Anduva the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Mirandes are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Racing Ferrol are 6th (upper half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mirandes, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barakaldo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Racing Ferrol, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Unionistas de Salamanca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Racing Ferrol, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Mirandes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirandes 1.4 xG, Racing Ferrol 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirandes 58%, draw 22%, Racing Ferrol 20%.
Lower-risk option: Mirandes or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Mirandes to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mirandes or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirandes 1–0 Racing Ferrol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirandes58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @2.90
Racing Ferrol20%fair 5.00 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.44Mirandes xG
0.69Racing Ferrol xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.4 – 0.7 Racing Ferrol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirandes to win✓
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Mirandes or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Mirandes (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Racing Ferrol +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Mirandes to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✓
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Mirandes – last 6
LDLWDW
17 Oct
@ Barakaldo
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Zamora
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Real Unión
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Mérida AD
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Racing Ferrol – last 6
WWWLWW
17 Oct
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Pontevedra
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Lugo
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Unión
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Racing Ferrol.
What is the prediction for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Our pick is Mirandes or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Racing Ferrol 20%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–0 Racing Ferrol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
