Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponferradina welcome Barakaldo for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Saturday 24 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Ponferradina are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Barakaldo are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ponferradina, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zamora, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Barakaldo, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mirandes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Ponferradina 1–0 Barakaldo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponferradina 1.1 xG, Barakaldo 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponferradina 46%, draw 25%, Barakaldo 29%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponferradina 1–0 Barakaldo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponferradina46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Barakaldo29%fair 3.48 · @3.40
1.88Expected goals
1.11Ponferradina xG
0.77Barakaldo xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ponferradina 1.1 – 0.8 Barakaldo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
On our numbers Ponferradina have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barakaldo 29%.
How many goals will there be in Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Our predicted score is Ponferradina 1–0 Barakaldo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ponferradina vs Barakaldo?
Ponferradina vs Barakaldo (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
