Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarakaldo to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceBarakaldo or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Primera División RFEF Group 1 brings Barakaldo against Pontevedra at Campo de Lasesarre. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Barakaldo are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Pontevedra are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Barakaldo, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ponferradina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pontevedra, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arosa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barakaldo 1.6 xG, Pontevedra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barakaldo 60%, draw 25%, Pontevedra 14%.
Lower-risk option: Barakaldo or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barakaldo to win (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barakaldo 1–0 Pontevedra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barakaldo60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.10
Pontevedra14%fair 6.94 · @4.20
2.28Expected goals
1.62Barakaldo xG
0.66Pontevedra xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barakaldo 1.6 – 0.7 Pontevedra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barakaldo to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Barakaldo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Barakaldo (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Barakaldo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Barakaldo to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barakaldo / FT Barakaldo✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Barakaldo – last 6
DWLDDL
24 Oct
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Mirandes
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ UD Ourense
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Real Avilés
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pontevedra – last 6
LWWLLD
27 Oct
@ Arosa
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Cultural Leonesa
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Cacereño
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Mérida AD
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Racing Ferrol
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Ponferradina
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barakaldo and Pontevedra.
What is the prediction for Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
Our pick is Barakaldo to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
On our numbers Barakaldo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pontevedra 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
Our predicted score is Barakaldo 1–0 Pontevedra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?
Barakaldo vs Pontevedra (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Lasesarre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
