UD Ourense 14%Draw 26%Cultural Leonesa 60%Expected goals 0.57 – 1.49
86%
Betarazi pick
Cultural Leonesa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cultural Leonesa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCultural Leonesa to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceCultural Leonesa or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UD Ourense welcome Cultural Leonesa for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 1 November (16:30 WAT). In the table, UD Ourense are 20th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Cultural Leonesa are 14th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
UD Ourense, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnástica Torrelavega, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Cultural Leonesa, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gimnástica Segoviana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UD Ourense 0.6 xG, Cultural Leonesa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UD Ourense 14%, draw 26%, Cultural Leonesa 60%.
Lower-risk option: Cultural Leonesa or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Cultural Leonesa to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cultural Leonesa or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: UD Ourense 0–1 Cultural Leonesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UD Ourense14%fair 6.96 · @4.00
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Cultural Leonesa60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
2.06Expected goals
0.57UD Ourense xG
1.49Cultural Leonesa xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–214%
0–013%
1–111%
1–28%
1–07%
From our goals model: UD Ourense 0.6 – 1.5 Cultural Leonesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cultural Leonesa to win✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cultural Leonesa or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.91
Draw no bet
Cultural Leonesa (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
UD Ourense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cultural Leonesa to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cultural Leonesa / FT Cultural Leonesa✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
UD Ourense – last 6
DLLWDD
29 Oct
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Arenas Getxo
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Real Avilés
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Barakaldo
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Real Unión
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Cacereño
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cultural Leonesa – last 6
WLDWLD
27 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Pontevedra
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ UD Logroñés
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Arenas Getxo
4–1
W
3 Oct
@ Unionistas de Salamanca
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs CD Coria
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UD Ourense and Cultural Leonesa.
What is the prediction for UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our pick is Cultural Leonesa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
On our numbers UD Ourense have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cultural Leonesa 60%.
How many goals will there be in UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
Our predicted score is UD Ourense 0–1 Cultural Leonesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa?
UD Ourense vs Cultural Leonesa (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
