Atlético Madrid II v Juventud Torremolinos Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Madrid II to win ✗55% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Madrid II welcome Juventud Torremolinos for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 30 August (18:15 WAT). In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Juventud Torremolinos are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Atlético Madrid II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mirandes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Juventud Torremolinos, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sevilla, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Juventud Torremolinos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Atlético Madrid II.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Juventud Torremolinos 3–1 Atlético Madrid II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.7 xG, Juventud Torremolinos 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 55%, draw 21%, Juventud Torremolinos 24%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Madrid II55%fair 1.81 · @1.90

Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.30

Juventud Torremolinos24%fair 4.24 · @3.75

2.64Expected goals

1.66Atlético Madrid II xG

0.97Juventud Torremolinos xG

56%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–112%

2–010%

2–110%

0–07%

0–17%

From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.7 – 1.0 Juventud Torremolinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atlético Madrid II to win ✗	55%	1.81	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.80	1.70
Draw no bet	Atlético Madrid II (draw no bet)	70%	1.43	–
Asian handicap	Juventud Torremolinos +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	51%	1.96	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Atlético Madrid II to score first	59%	1.71	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atlético Madrid II / FT Atlético Madrid II ✗	33%	3.06	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.37	–

Atlético Madrid II – last 6

LLLDWL

13 Aug	vs Mirandes	1–2	L
8 Aug	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	0–2	L
6 Jun	vs Ponferradina	0–1	L
30 May	@ Ponferradina	0–0	D
8 May	vs Sabadell	4–3	W
3 May	@ Juventud Torremolinos	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Juventud Torremolinos – last 6

LWWLLW

11 Jul	@ Sevilla	0–1	L
10 May	@ Marbella	1–0	W
3 May	vs Atlético Madrid II	3–1	W
19 Apr	vs Real Betis II	1–2	L
12 Apr	@ Ibiza	1–2	L
8 Mar	vs Alcorcon	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Villarreal II	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Real Murcia	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Real Jaén	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Alcorcon	11	4	6	1	+9	18
6	Ibiza	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Hércules	11	5	2	4	-1	17
8	FC Cartagena	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Real Madrid II	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Huesca	11	3	6	2	0	15
11	Gimnastic	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Antequera	11	3	5	3	+2	14
13	Algeciras	11	4	2	5	-1	14
14	Sant Andreu	11	3	4	4	0	13
15	Atlético Madrid II	11	2	5	4	+1	11
16	Europa Fc	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	Águilas	11	1	6	4	-6	9
18	Juventud Torremolinos	11	1	5	5	-9	8
19	Rayo Majadahonda	11	2	1	8	-7	7
20	Teruel	11	1	4	6	-13	7

Team

Pts

+11

-1

-1

-1

-11

-6

Juventud Torremolinos

-9

Rayo Majadahonda

-7

Teruel

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?

On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juventud Torremolinos 24%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–1 Juventud Torremolinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos?

Atlético Madrid II vs Juventud Torremolinos (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atlético Madrid II v Juventud Torremolinos: numbers & prediction