Value bet: Zaragoza to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZaragoza to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Gimnastic vs Zaragoza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnastic welcome Zaragoza to Nou Estadi de Tarragona for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 30 August (20:30 WAT). In the table, Gimnastic are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Zaragoza are 1st (leading the league) with 24.
Current form
Gimnastic, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Espanyol II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Zaragoza, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Numancia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zaragoza, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Gimnastic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnastic 1.1 xG, Zaragoza 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnastic 33%, draw 23%, Zaragoza 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Zaragoza to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnastic 1–1 Zaragoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnastic33%fair 3.04 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Zaragoza44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
2.53Expected goals
1.15Gimnastic xG
1.38Zaragoza xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.1 – 1.4 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zaragoza to win✗
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.73
Draw no bet
Zaragoza (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Gimnastic +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Zaragoza to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaragoza / FT Zaragoza✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Gimnastic – last 6
LDDDLL
22 Aug
@ Espanyol II
0–3
L
13 Aug
vs Huesca
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Girona
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Olot
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs FC Andorra
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Marbella
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zaragoza – last 6
LWWWWL
22 Aug
@ Numancia
1–2
L
21 Aug
vs Athletic Club
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Villarreal II
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ UD Logroñés
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Real Sociedad II
2–1
W
6 Aug
vs FC Andorra
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnastic and Zaragoza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zaragoza 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
Our predicted score is Gimnastic 1–1 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gimnastic vs Zaragoza?
Gimnastic vs Zaragoza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
