Value bet: Águilas to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultÁguilas to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Águilas vs Gimnastic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnastic travel to face Águilas on Sunday 8 November in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Águilas are 17th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Gimnastic are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Águilas, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventud Torremolinos, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gimnastic, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Huesca, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimnastic, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Águilas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águilas 1.8 xG, Gimnastic 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas 61%, draw 25%, Gimnastic 14%.
Lower-risk option: Águilas or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Águilas to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas 1–0 Gimnastic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águilas61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Gimnastic14%fair 7.10 · @4.10
2.55Expected goals
1.79Águilas xG
0.76Gimnastic xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.8 – 0.8 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Águilas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Águilas (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Águilas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Águilas to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Águilas ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Águilas – last 6
DLDLDL
1 Nov
@ Juventud Torremolinos
0–0
D
29 Oct
@ Antequera
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Teruel
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Ibiza
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Huesca
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ FC Cartagena
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnastic – last 6
LWWDLL
2 Nov
@ Huesca
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Hércules
4–2
W
18 Oct
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Real Murcia
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Gimnastic.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Águilas vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers Águilas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gimnastic 14%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Gimnastic?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–0 Gimnastic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Gimnastic?
Águilas vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
