Real Madrid II 60%Draw 23%Hércules 16%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.76
84%
Betarazi pick
Real Madrid II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Real Madrid II to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReal Madrid II to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceReal Madrid II or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Real Madrid II vs Hércules: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Real Madrid II against Hércules. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Real Madrid II are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Hércules are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Madrid II, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Cartagena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Hércules, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rayo Majadahonda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Madrid II 1.7 xG, Hércules 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Madrid II 60%, draw 23%, Hércules 16%.
Lower-risk option: Real Madrid II or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Real Madrid II to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Madrid II or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Madrid II 1–0 Hércules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Madrid II60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Hércules16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
2.49Expected goals
1.73Real Madrid II xG
0.76Hércules xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Madrid II 1.7 – 0.8 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid II to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Real Madrid II or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
Real Madrid II (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Real Madrid II to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid II / FT Real Madrid II✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Real Madrid II – last 6
WLWDWL
31 Oct
vs FC Cartagena
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Antequera
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Ibiza
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Atlético Madrid II
3–2
W
27 Sep
vs Alcorcon
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
WLLWDW
1 Nov
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Gimnastic
2–4
L
17 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–2
L
12 Oct
vs Sant Andreu
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Real Jaén
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Águilas
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid II and Hércules.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid II vs Hércules?
Our pick is Real Madrid II or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Hércules?
On our numbers Real Madrid II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hércules 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid II vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid II vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid II 1–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid II vs Hércules?
Real Madrid II vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
