Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEtar Veliko Tarnovo to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceEtar Veliko Tarnovo or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.52
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Etar Veliko Tarnovo v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League, played at Ivajlo Stadion. In the table, Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Etar Veliko Tarnovo, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hebar 1918, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Spartak Pleven, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1.8 xG, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Etar Veliko Tarnovo 57%, draw 21%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 21%.
Lower-risk option: Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw (79%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Etar Veliko Tarnovo57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
2.75Expected goals
1.79Etar Veliko Tarnovo xG
0.97Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1.8 – 1.0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to win✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Etar Veliko Tarnovo (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Etar Veliko Tarnovo to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Etar Veliko Tarnovo ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Etar Veliko Tarnovo / FT Etar Veliko Tarnovo✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.52
–
Recent results
Etar Veliko Tarnovo – last 6
LWLDLD
14 Sep
@ Hebar 1918
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia II
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Vihren
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Beroe
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rilski Sportist
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 6
WDWWLL
13 Sep
vs Spartak Pleven
3–0
W
7 Sep
@ Fratria
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Ludogorets II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Hebar 1918
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.
What is the prediction for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our pick is Etar Veliko Tarnovo or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
On our numbers Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 21%.
How many goals will there be in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Our predicted score is Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Ivajlo Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
