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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marek v Rilski Sportist: numbers & prediction

Second League · Bulgaria · Stadion Bonchuk

Marek

WLWDW
1–3
FT
Marek 46%Draw 23%Rilski Sportist 31% Expected goals 1.26 – 0.96
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarek to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30

Marek vs Rilski Sportist: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Second League brings Marek against Rilski Sportist at Stadion Bonchuk. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Marek are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Rilski Sportist are 12th (lower half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marek, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pirin Blagoevgrad, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rilski Sportist, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Yantra 2019, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marek 1.3 xG, Rilski Sportist 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marek 46%, draw 23%, Rilski Sportist 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marek 1–0 Rilski Sportist. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marek46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Rilski Sportist31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
2.22Expected goals
1.26Marek xG
0.96Rilski Sportist xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Marek 1.3 – 1.0 Rilski Sportist expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarek to win ✗46%2.182.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betMarek (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapRilski Sportist +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreMarek to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marek / FT Marek ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.30–

Recent results

Marek – last 6

WLWDWL
13 Sepvs Pirin Blagoevgrad3–0W
6 Sep@ Yantra 20190–3L
2 Sepvs Nesebar1–0W
29 Aug@ Sportist Svoge0–0D
23 Augvs Dobrudzha4–2W
16 Aug@ Montana0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rilski Sportist – last 6

WLWDWD
13 Sepvs Yantra 20192–0W
6 Sep@ Nesebar1–2L
2 Sepvs Sportist Svoge2–1W
29 Aug@ Dobrudzha0–0D
22 Augvs Montana2–1W
15 Aug@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marek and Rilski Sportist.

Marek vs Rilski Sportist head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia II15942+1831
2Vihren15852+1529
3Chernomorets 1919 Burgas15852+1429
4Fratria14743+1025
5Yantra 201915735+524
6Hebar 191815726+723
7Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa15654+123
8Beroe15645+322
9Ludogorets II14644+622
10Spartak Pleven15636-921
11Etar Veliko Tarnovo14635+121
12Rilski Sportist15555020
13Marek15537-418
14Nesebar15537-118
15Montana15438-1115
16Sportist Svoge15267-912
17Dobrudzha14248-1310
18Pirin Blagoevgrad150213-332

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marek vs Rilski Sportist?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Marek vs Rilski Sportist?

On our numbers Marek have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rilski Sportist 31%.

How many goals will there be in Marek vs Rilski Sportist?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marek vs Rilski Sportist?

Our predicted score is Marek 1–0 Rilski Sportist, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Marek vs Rilski Sportist?

Marek vs Rilski Sportist (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bonchuk.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.