Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFratria to win ✓69% · @1.32
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.08
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.55
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Pirin Blagoevgrad v Fratria in the Second League, played at Hristo Botev. In the table, Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Fratria are 4th (among the top four) with 25. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pirin Blagoevgrad, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Marek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Fratria, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ludogorets II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fratria, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Fratria 3–0 Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.7 xG, Fratria 2.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pirin Blagoevgrad 12%, draw 18%, Fratria 69%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.08.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–2 Fratria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad12%fair 8.26 · @8.10
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.15
Fratria69%fair 1.44 · @1.32
2.81Expected goals
0.72Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
2.09Fratria xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 0.7 – 2.1 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fratria 69%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 0–2 Fratria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
