Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBasconia to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Basconia vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arosa travel to face Basconia on Saturday 19 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Basconia are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Arosa are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Basconia, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atlético Astorga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Arosa, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Gernika, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Basconia 2.2 xG, Arosa 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Basconia 64%, draw 17%, Arosa 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Basconia to win (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Basconia 2–1 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Basconia64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @3.70
Arosa19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
3.36Expected goals
2.24Basconia xG
1.13Arosa xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Basconia 2.2 – 1.1 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Basconia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Basconia (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Basconia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Basconia to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Basconia ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Basconia / FT Basconia✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Basconia – last 6
WLDLWD
13 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Ourense CF
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ejea
5–1
W
26 Apr
vs Gernika
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 6
LDWWDD
13 Sep
vs Gernika
0–4
L
6 Sep
@ Amorebieta
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Boiro
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Estradense
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Basconia and Arosa.
Our pick is Basconia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Basconia vs Arosa?
On our numbers Basconia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arosa 19%.
How many goals will there be in Basconia vs Arosa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Basconia vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Basconia 2–1 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Basconia vs Arosa?
Basconia vs Arosa (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
