Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultCoruxo to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Portugalete vs Coruxo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Portugalete against Coruxo. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Portugalete are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Coruxo are 14th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Portugalete, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Compostela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Coruxo, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Racing Santander II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Portugalete, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Coruxo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugalete 0.8 xG, Coruxo 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugalete 33%, draw 23%, Coruxo 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugalete 0–0 Coruxo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugalete33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Coruxo44%fair 2.29 · @2.40
1.79Expected goals
0.80Portugalete xG
0.99Coruxo xG
40%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portugalete 0.8 – 1.0 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruxo to win✗
44%
2.29
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Coruxo (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Coruxo to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.03
–
Recent results
Portugalete – last 6
DWWWWD
13 Sep
vs Compostela
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Eibar III
4–2
W
1 Apr
vs Durango
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Aretxabaleta
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Coruxo – last 6
DWWLDW
13 Sep
vs Racing Santander II
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Alavés II
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Pontevedra
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ Lugo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Atlético Baleares
1–1
D
3 May
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Coruxo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Portugalete vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Coruxo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Coruxo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 0–0 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Coruxo?
Portugalete vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
